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Weather Intelligence MCP

Documentation · Hosted v0.3 · Last updated June 4, 2026 · Sixth Rule, LLC (Sixth Rule Labs)

Weather Intelligence is a hosted Model Context Protocol (MCP) server that gives Claude — and any MCP-compatible assistant — live access to U.S. weather data plus a probability layer built for high-stakes decisions. You connect it once; after that, you just ask weather questions in plain English and your assistant pulls real data and runs the analysis for you.

What it is · Connecting · The six tools · Tiers & pricing · Example prompts · Data & privacy


What it is

Weather Intelligence connects your AI assistant to the U.S. National Weather Service (api.weather.gov) and NOAA Climate Data Online — the same primary government sources professional forecasters use and that prediction-market weather contracts settle against. On top of that data, the Pro tier adds a Monte Carlo simulation engine that turns a single-point forecast into a full probability distribution: mean, percentiles (10/25/50/75/90), and tail risk.

It is built for people making money decisions on weather:

Honest positioning. Free, open-source weather MCP servers exist, and some already do probability math. Weather Intelligence is not "the only probabilistic weather MCP." What it is: hosted and reliable (zero setup, NWS-compliant caching and throttling so it doesn't get rate-limited), multi-tenant with proper auth (OAuth 2.1 or per-key), and trader-calibrated — the Monte Carlo engine is the same approach the founder built and used for live Kalshi weather trading, not a feature bolted on for marketing.

It is fully hosted on Cloudflare's edge — there is nothing to install or run yourself. Every request authenticates; there is no anonymous access.


Connecting — two ways

You connect once. There are two supported methods: OAuth (recommended for Claude.ai — no key to copy or paste) and a Bearer API key (for Claude Desktop, Claude Code, and server-to-server clients). Both hit the same account system — your tier, daily quota, and metering are identical regardless of how you connect.

Method 1 — OAuth via Claude's "Add custom connector"

Best for Claude.ai web and desktop. No API key to manage; Claude walks you through a consent screen and handles tokens automatically.

  1. In Claude, open Settings → Connectors (or Extensions, depending on your version).
  2. Click Add custom connector.
  3. Paste the server URL:
    https://weather-intelligence-mcp.quantrisk.workers.dev/mcp
  4. Claude discovers the OAuth endpoints and opens a consent page. There, either:
    • Create a new free account (10 calls/day, provisioned instantly, no card), or
    • Link an existing wx_ API key — do this to keep one account across devices or to use a paid tier.
  5. Approve. Start a new conversation and ask: "What's the forecast for Austin, TX this weekend?" Live data back means you're connected.

Note: each fresh "new account" consent creates a separate free key. To use a paid tier or share one account across clients, link your wx_ key on the consent page.

Method 2 — Bearer API key (Claude Desktop, Claude Code, other MCP clients)

For server-to-server use and clients that connect with a static credential. Add this to your MCP configuration:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "weather-intelligence": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://weather-intelligence-mcp.quantrisk.workers.dev/mcp",
      "headers": {
        "Authorization": "Bearer wx_YOUR_API_KEY"
      }
    }
  }
}

Generic MCP clients: POST JSON-RPC to /mcp with Authorization: Bearer wx_YOUR_API_KEY and Accept: application/json, text/event-stream. No credential returns HTTP 401 with a sign-up message. Need a key? Contact hello@sixthrule.dev — or just use the OAuth method above, which provisions a free key for you.


The six tools (in plain English)

You never call these directly — your assistant picks the right tool from your question. This is just so you know what's available. The first three are available on every tier; the last three require a paid tier as noted.

ToolWhat it doesTier
get_forecast The standard forecast for any U.S. location: 12-hour day/night periods out to 7 days — temperature, precipitation chance, wind, conditions. All
get_alerts Active NWS watches, warnings, and advisories for a U.S. state or a specific point — severe weather before the crew loads the truck. All
get_hourly_forecast Hour-by-hour forecast out to ~156 hours. This is how you find a dry 6-hour window or check overnight lows for a concrete pour. All
get_historical_patterns Past weather records — last 7 days from NWS, or 8 to 365 days back from NOAA Climate Data Online. "How hot was Phoenix last July 4th?" Standard, Pro
probability_distribution Monte Carlo simulation across forecast uncertainty. Returns the probability of a threshold event (e.g. high > 85°F) plus a full percentile breakdown (10/25/50/75/90) — the odds, not a point estimate. Pro
compare_locations Side-by-side forecast comparison across 2 to 8 sites at once — a multi-job-site morning brief, or several markets in one ask. Pro

If you ask a probability question on a tier that doesn't include it, your assistant answers from the basic forecast instead and tells you the advanced tool is a Pro feature — nothing breaks.


Tiers & pricing

 FreeStandardPro
Price$0$19/mo
Subscribe →
$49/mo
Subscribe →
Daily quota10 calls/day (hard, resets 00:00 UTC)Unlimited (fair-use 2,000/day)Unlimited (fair-use 5,000/day)
Forecasts, hourly & alerts
Historical patterns (NWS + NOAA)
Monte Carlo probability distributions
Multi-site comparison (2–8)
Best forTrying it this weekDaily scheduling & planningTrading & high-stakes calls

Subscribing takes one click: checkout via Stripe, and your API key is shown immediately after payment (link it to your account on the OAuth consent page, or use it directly as a Bearer key). The free tier needs no credit card. When you hit 10 calls in a day, your assistant tells you and the counter resets at midnight UTC — nothing breaks and you lose nothing. One mispriced contract, or one saved crew day, covers Pro for months.

Tip: batch your asks. "Compare Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday in one answer" is cheaper against your quota than three separate questions.


Example prompts

Ask the way you'd ask a colleague. Your assistant figures out which tool to use.

Traders

  1. "What's the probability the high at Central Park (KNYC) exceeds 85°F this Friday? Give me the percentile breakdown."
  2. "Run a Monte Carlo on Chicago's Saturday high and tell me if a market pricing 'above 78°F' at 55¢ has edge."
  3. "What's the 90th-percentile high-temp outcome for Miami over the next 5 days? I want tail risk before selling the 'above' side."
  4. "Base-rate check: how often has Austin recorded measurable rain in the last week of August since 2005?"
  5. "Compare tomorrow's high forecast for Philadelphia, Dallas, and Denver — I'm screening which board to trade."

Contractors

  1. "I'm roofing in Marietta, GA this week. Which days have the best 8-hour dry windows?"
  2. "Can my crew pour concrete in Columbus on Tuesday? I need overnight lows above 40°F and no rain for 24 hours after."
  3. "Any wind advisories near Hempstead, NY in the next 3 days? We have a crane lift scheduled."
  4. "Compare Wednesday vs. Friday for exterior painting in Phoenix — temperature, humidity, and rain chance."
  5. "Give me a Monday-morning weather brief for job sites in Atlanta, Macon, and Savannah this week."

Event planners

  1. "What are the odds of rain during an outdoor wedding in Austin this Saturday between 4 and 8 p.m.?"
  2. "How often has it rained on the second weekend of October in Charleston over the last 20 years? I'm choosing a venue."
  3. "What's the expected temperature range for an evening outdoor event in Chicago next Friday — should we order heaters?"
  4. "Wind forecast for a beach event in Montauk Sunday — anything above 15 mph between noon and 6?"

General

  1. "Is there any severe weather expected along the I-95 corridor between DC and Boston tomorrow?"
  2. "Summarize this week's weather for ZIP 30303 (Atlanta): best days to be outside, days to avoid, and any alerts."

Tips on location formats


Data, attribution & privacy

Weather data is sourced from the U.S. National Weather Service / NOAA (api.weather.gov, NOAA Climate Data Online). NWS data is in the public domain and not subject to copyright protection (17 U.S.C. § 403). This product is not endorsed by or affiliated with NOAA or the NWS.

We collect as little as possible: your API key, its tier, OAuth client registrations and refresh tokens for connected apps, and a per-day log of tool calls (tool name, timestamp, allowed/denied) kept for billing and quota enforcement. Location parameters pass through to the weather providers to answer your request and are not retained; we never send your key or identity to the providers. Full details are in our Privacy Policy.

Not financial or life-safety advice. Weather Intelligence provides weather data and statistical analysis for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and nothing in this product is a recommendation to buy or sell any contract or financial instrument. Probability outputs are model estimates over forecast uncertainty, not market odds and not guarantees. Past weather patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. For life-safety decisions, use official NWS dissemination channels.

Support: hello@sixthrule.dev · we respond within one business day.